Search results for " seismic activity"
showing 4 items of 4 documents
Probabilistic forecast for Northern New Zealand seismic process: a kernel-based approach
2009
Forecast of earthquakes of a given area of Northern New Zealand is provided. It is based on the assumption that future earthquakes activity may be based on the smoothing of past earthquakes. Therefore, seismic activity is described by an intensity function factorized into kernel functions which depend on time longitude and latitude of events.
Kernel estimation and display of a five-dimensional conditional intensity function
2018
The aim of this paper is to find a convenient and effective method of displaying some second order properties in a neighbourhood of a selected point of the process. The used techniques are based on very general high-dimensional nonparametric smoothing developed to define a more gen- eral version of the conditional intensity function introduced in earlier earthquake studies by Vere-Jones (1978). 1976) is commonly used for such a purpose in discussing the cumulative behavior of interpoint distances about an initial point. It is defined as the expected number of events falling within a given distance of the initial event, divided by the overall density (rate in 2-dimensions) of the process, sa…
Kernel intensity for space-time point processes with application to seismological problems
2010
Dealing with data coming from a space-time inhomogeneous process, there is often the need of semi-parametric estimates of the conditional intensity function; isotropic or anisotropic multivariate kernel estimates can be used, with windows sizes h. The properties of the intensities estimated with this choice of h are not always good for specific fields of application; we could try to choose h in order to have good predictive properties of the estimated intensity function. Since a direct ML approach cannot be followed, we propose an estimation procedure, computationally intensive, based on the subsequent increments of likelihood obtained adding an observation at time. The first results obtain…
The Impact of Climate, Resource Availability, Natural Disturbances and Human Subsistence Strategies on Sicilian Landscape Dynamics During the Holocene
2022
This paper presents a multidisciplinary summary of the most recent discoveries and hypotheses concerning factors driving the human subsistence economy and landscape shaping in Sicily during the Holocene. A number of scientific papers have recently pointed out the key role played by paleogeography, resource (water, food) availability and natural disturbances (volcanic eruptions, tsunamis) in local human activities. Modern anthropology and archaeology increasingly use biological remains (e.g. soils, bones, wood, plant macroremains, pollen) to better understand how human communities managed to survive and spread. Likewise, refined reconstructions of past human demographic fluxes and socio-econ…